All Fishing in the Bay Blog Posts

The Case of the Fatal Ratio

28 March 2022

We can all limit our chance of getting Covid. If we get vaccinated and follow the advice about masks and physical distancing, the chance will be much lower. What you and I cannot control is our chance of dying if we get infected. The concept of the case fatality rate (CFR) is apparently straight-forward. If I get infected what is the chance that I die? That’s the bottom line surely.

How would we estimate this? By a simple ratio. How many of those infected say one month ago ended up dying? A kid in grade 4 could understand it. When I went to school, we could have calculated it using long-division. Alas, no longer…

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